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VIRGINIA
BEACH, VA, November 8, 2006 -- Yesterday’s
mid-term elections may have produced a seismic
power shift
in Congress, but it will have little impact on
the stock market, says Jim Flinchum, a Virginia
Beach-based expert on economics and investing.
"The economy remains
structurally sound, and the Republicans are not
powerless. Tax treatment
of capital gains and dividend income will continue
to be kinder than tax treatment of salaries for
at least two years. Even the expiration of these
tax advantages in 2010 will not be disastrous,
as Wall Street has learned investment decisions
involve much more than tax considerations.
"Although the Democrats
took control of the House and Senate, how much
power has really shifted
since they do not have the votes to overturn a
presidential veto (67) or stop a Republican filibuster
(60)? The Republicans still control the White House,
the Supreme Court, and the Federal Reserve System.
Some analysts think power will shift to the center.
We think it will simply stop shifting to the right.
"Perhaps the greatest threat to our economic
future is expiration of the president’s “Fast
Track Authority” to negotiate international
trade policy, particularly the Doha Round, which
is currently stalled. Globalization is too powerful
to be ignored, and controlling it is critical.
Democrats may stop renewal of the president’s
authority next year, which is not healthy in the
long run. We will be watching this carefully.
"Investors accept many risks routinely. One
risk will become more important as a result of
the Democratic takeover, i.e., “Headline
Risk.” We can expect to see the energy sector
under even greater attack and threats of an excess-profits
tax. It will not happen. Attacks on Wal-Mart will
continue but produce little, other than depressing
its stock price. Nonetheless, bad press produces
lower market values. As a result of the shift in
power, Bay Capital Advisors has reduced its clients’ holdings
in pharmaceutical and healthcare companies, but
not in defense companies."
In your continuing coverage of this story, feel
free to call Jim for comment, analysis or background
at (757) 641-3378. His views on the economy and
investments can be found at http://www.baycapitaladvice.com/media-coverage.asp.
About Jim Flinchum
Flinchum is the managing principal of the financial planning and investment
company Bay Capital Advisors in Virginia Beach. His deep understanding of
the financial world, national and global economics, and investing make him
an outstanding Expert Resource for your articles. For more than 35 years
he worked in senior-level positions for some of America's premier banking
institutions, taught economics for the American Institute of Banking and
the University of Texas, and served as a gubernatorial appointee to the State
Depository Board.
Jim Flinchum contact
jim@baycapitaladvice.com,
(757) 641-3378
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